Investigators: Peter Lewis (CI), Tina Navin-Cristina, Richard Broome, Louisa Jorm, Alex Stephens, Mark Bartlett, Joanna Wang The purpose of this project is to develop predictive models of impending emergency hospital admission, emergency department attendance, residential aged care admission, significant change in health state or death. That is, to identify indicators of an individual’s declining health, with the view to pre-emptive intervention. Validated predictive models will also support evaluation of the integrated care models implemented by NSW LHDs.